Volume 3

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Page 1: TOC 3-1

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693588" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693588" wspext="{"aid":"140693588"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Table of Contents 3-1" selectedfileurl=" files/140693588.png"
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Page 2: TOC 3-2

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693589" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693589" wspext="{"aid":"140693589"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Table of Contents 3-2" selectedfileurl=" files/140693589.png"
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Page 3: Fig 3-01

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693533" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693533" wspext="{"aid":"140693533"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-01 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in ARIZONA Gallego (D) vs. Lake (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693533.png"
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Page 4: Fig 3-02

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693534" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693534" wspext="{"aid":"140693534"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-02 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in CALIFORNIA Schiff (D) vs. Garvey (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693534.png"
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Page 5: Fig 3-03

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693535" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693535" wspext="{"aid":"140693535"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-03 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in CONNECTICUT Murphy (D) vs. Corey (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693535.png"
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Page 6: Fig 3-04

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693536" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693536" wspext="{"aid":"140693536"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-04 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in DELAWARE Blunt Rochester (D) vs. Hansen (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693536.png"
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Page 7: Fig 3-05

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693537" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693537" wspext="{"aid":"140693537"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-05 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in FLORIDA Mucarsel-Powell (D) vs. Scott (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693537.png"
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Page 8: Fig 3-06

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693538" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693538" wspext="{"aid":"140693538"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-06 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in INDIANA McCray (D) vs. Banks (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693538.png"
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Page 9: Fig 3-07

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693539" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693539" wspext="{"aid":"140693539"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-07 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MAINE Costello (D) vs. Kouzounas (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693539.png"
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Page 10: Fig 3-08

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693540" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693540" wspext="{"aid":"140693540"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-08 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MARYLAND Alsobrooks (D) vs. Hogan (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693540.png"
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Page 11: Fig 3-09

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693541" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693541" wspext="{"aid":"140693541"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-09 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MASSACHUSETTS Warren (D) vs. Deaton (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693541.png"
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Page 12: Fig 3-10

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693542" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693542" wspext="{"aid":"140693542"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-10 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MICHIGAN Slotkin (D) vs. Rogers (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693542.png"
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Page 13: Fig 3-11

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693543" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693543" wspext="{"aid":"140693543"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-11 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MINNESOTA Klobuchar (D) vs. White (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693543.png"
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Page 14: Fig 3-12

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693544" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693544" wspext="{"aid":"140693544"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-12 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MISSISSIPPI Pinkins (D) vs. Wicker (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693544.png"
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Page 15: Fig 3-13

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693545" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693545" wspext="{"aid":"140693545"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-13 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MISSOURI Kunce (D) vs. Hawley (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693545.png"
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Page 16: Fig 3-14

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693546" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693546" wspext="{"aid":"140693546"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-14 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MONTANA Tester (D) vs. Sheehy (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693546.png"
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Page 17: Fig 3-15

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693547" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693547" wspext="{"aid":"140693547"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-15 Probability Independent Wins Senate Race in NEBRASKA Osborn (I) vs. Fischer (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693547.png"
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Page 18: Fig 3-16

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693548" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693548" wspext="{"aid":"140693548"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-16 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEVADA Rosen (D) vs. Brown (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693548.png"
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Page 19: Fig 3-17

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693549" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693549" wspext="{"aid":"140693549"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-17 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW JERSEY Kim (D) vs. Bashaw (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693549.png"
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Page 20: Fig 3-18

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693550" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693550" wspext="{"aid":"140693550"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-18 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW MEXICO Heinrich (D) vs. Domenici (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693550.png"
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Page 21: Fig 3-19

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693551" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693551" wspext="{"aid":"140693551"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-19 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW YORK Gillibrand (D) vs. Sapraicone (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693551.png"
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Page 22: Fig 3-20

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693552" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693552" wspext="{"aid":"140693552"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-20 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NORTH DAKOTA Christiansen (D) vs. Cramer (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693552.png"
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Page 23: Fig 3-21

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693553" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693553" wspext="{"aid":"140693553"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-21 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in OHIO Brown (D) vs. Moreno (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693553.png"
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Page 24: Fig 3-22

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693554" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693554" wspext="{"aid":"140693554"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-22 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in PENNSYLVANIA Casey (D) vs. McCormick (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693554.png"
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Page 25: Fig 3-23

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693555" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693555" wspext="{"aid":"140693555"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-23 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in RHODE ISLAND Whitehouse (D) vs. Morgan (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693555.png"
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Page 26: Fig 3-24

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693556" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693556" wspext="{"aid":"140693556"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-24 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in TENNESSEE Johnson (D) vs. Blackburn (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693556.png"
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Page 27: Fig 3-25

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693557" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693557" wspext="{"aid":"140693557"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-25 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in TEXAS Allred (D) vs. Cruz (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693557.png"
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Page 28: Fig 3-26

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693558" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693558" wspext="{"aid":"140693558"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-26 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in UTAH Gleich (D) vs. Curtis (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693558.png"
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Page 29: Fig 3-27

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693559" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693559" wspext="{"aid":"140693559"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-27 Probability Independent Wins Senate Race in VERMONT Sanders (I) vs. Malloy (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693559.png"
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Page 30: Fig 3-28

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693560" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693560" wspext="{"aid":"140693560"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-28 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in VIRGINIA Kaine (D) vs. Cao (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693560.png"
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Page 31: Fig 3-29

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693561" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693561" wspext="{"aid":"140693561"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-29 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WASHINGTON Cantwell (D) vs. Garcia (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693561.png"
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Page 32: Fig 3-30

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693562" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693562" wspext="{"aid":"140693562"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-30 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WEST VIRGINIA Elliott (D) vs. Justice (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693562.png"
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Page 33: Fig 3-31

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693563" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693563" wspext="{"aid":"140693563"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-31 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WISCONSIN Baldwin (D) vs. Hovde (R) from 538.com" selectedfileurl=" files/140693563.png"
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Page 34: Fig 3-32

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693564" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693564" wspext="{"aid":"140693564"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-32 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in ARIZONA Ruben Gallego (D) vs. Kari Lake (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693564.png"
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Page 35: Fig 3-33

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693565" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693565" wspext="{"aid":"140693565"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-33 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in CALIFORNIA Adam Schiff (D) vs. Steve Garvey (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693565.png"
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Page 36: Fig 3-34

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693566" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693566" wspext="{"aid":"140693566"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-34 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in FLORIDA Mucarsel-Powell (D) vs. Scott (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693566.png"
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Page 37: Fig 3-35

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693567" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693567" wspext="{"aid":"140693567"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-35 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MAINE David Costello (D) vs. Demi Kouzounas (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693567.png"
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Page 38: Fig 3-36

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693568" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693568" wspext="{"aid":"140693568"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-36 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MARYLAND Angela Alsobrooks (D) vs. Larry Hogan (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693568.png"
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Page 39: Fig 3-37

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693569" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693569" wspext="{"aid":"140693569"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-37 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MICHIGAN Slotkin (D) vs. Rogers (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693569.png"
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Page 40: Fig 3-38

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693570" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693570" wspext="{"aid":"140693570"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-38 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MINNESOTA Amy Klobuchar (D-Inc) vs. Royce White (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693570.png"
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Page 41: Fig 3-39

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693571" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693571" wspext="{"aid":"140693571"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-39 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MISSISSIPPI Ty Pinkins (D) vs. Roger Wicker (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693571.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693571&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 42: Fig 3-40

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693572" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693572" wspext="{"aid":"140693572"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-40 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MISSOURI Lucas Kunce (D) vs. Josh Hawley (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693572.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693572&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 43: Fig 3-41

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693573" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693573" wspext="{"aid":"140693573"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-41 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in MONTANA Tester (D-Inc) vs. Sheehy (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693573.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693573&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 44: Fig 3-42

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693574" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693574" wspext="{"aid":"140693574"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-42 Probability Independent Wins Senate Race in NEBRASKA Dan Osborn (I) vs. Deb Fischer (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693574.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693574&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 45: Fig 3-43

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693575" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693575" wspext="{"aid":"140693575"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-43 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEVADA Jacky Rosen (D-inc) vs. Sam Brown (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693575.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693575&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 46: Fig 3-44

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693576" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693576" wspext="{"aid":"140693576"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-44 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW JERSEY Kim (D) vs. Bashaw (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693576.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693576&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 47: Fig 3-45

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693577" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693577" wspext="{"aid":"140693577"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-45 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW MEXICO Martin Heinrich (D-Inc) vs. Nella Domenici (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693577.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693577&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 48: Fig 3-46

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693578" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693578" wspext="{"aid":"140693578"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-46 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in NEW YORK Kirsten Gillibrand (D-Inc) vs. Mike Sapraicone (R) from Politics_Poll" selectedfileurl=" files/140693578.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693578&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 49: Fig 3-47

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693579" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693579" wspext="{"aid":"140693579"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-47 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in OHIO Sherrod Brown (D-Inc) vs. Matt Dolan (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693579.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693579&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 50: Fig 3-48

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693580" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693580" wspext="{"aid":"140693580"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-48 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in PENNSYLVANIA Casey (D) vs. McCormick (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693580.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693580&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 51: Fig 3-49

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693581" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693581" wspext="{"aid":"140693581"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-49 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in RHODE ISLAND Sheldon Whitehouse (D-Inc) vs. Generic Republican 34) from Politi" selectedfileurl=" files/140693581.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693581&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 52: Fig 3-50

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693582" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693582" wspext="{"aid":"140693582"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-50 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in TENNESSEE Gloria Johnson (D) vs. Marsha Blackburn (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693582.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693582&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 53: Fig 3-51

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693583" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693583" wspext="{"aid":"140693583"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-51 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in TEXAS Colin Allred (D) vs. Ted Cruz (R-Inc) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693583.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693583&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 54: Fig 3-52

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693584" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693584" wspext="{"aid":"140693584"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-52 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in VIRGINIA Tim Kaine (D-Inc) vs. Hung Cao (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693584.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693584&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 55: Fig 3-53

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693585" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693585" wspext="{"aid":"140693585"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-53 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WASHINGTON Maria Cantwell (D-Inc) vs. Raul Garcia (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693585.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693585&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 56: Fig 3-54

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693586" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693586" wspext="{"aid":"140693586"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-54 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WEST VIRGINIA Glenn Elliot (D) vs. Jim Justice (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693586.png"
mce_src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=2C6E5071B5BE6B277190DD2762862A2C?id=140693586&_dt=1728247285801" /></h2>
<hr />
Page 57: Fig 3-55

<h2><img width="900" title="" assetid="140693587" src="/matrix/servlet/ShowAsset;jsessionid=277C27758754B6EE4090E0AB774C87D5?id=140693587" wspext="{"aid":"140693587"}" height="615" border="0" alt="Fig 3-55 Probability Democrat Wins Senate Race in WISCONSIN Baldwin (D-Inc) vs. Hovde (R) from Politics_Polls" selectedfileurl=" files/140693587.png"